Isoko ryUbushinwa nu Burusiya byo gukora ibyuma mugihe cya Covid-19
Nk’uko byatangajwe na Jiang Li, umusesenguzi mukuru w’ishyirahamwe ry’igihugu ry’ubushinwa Metallurgical Association CISA, mu gice cya kabiri cy’umwaka ikoreshwa ry’ibicuruzwa by’icyuma mu gihugu rizagabanukaho toni miliyoni 10-20 ugereranije n’iya mbere. Mu bihe nk'ibi hashize imyaka irindwi, ibyo byari byaviriyemo ibicuruzwa byinshi by’icyuma ku isoko ry’Ubushinwa byajugunywe mu mahanga.
Noneho abashinwa nta hantu na hamwe bashobora kohereza hanze - babashyizeho imisoro yo kurwanya ibicuruzwa, kandi ntibashobora guhonyora umuntu wese uhendutse. Benshi mu nganda z’ubucukuzi bw’Ubushinwa zikora ku bucukuzi bw’ibyuma bitumizwa mu mahanga, bwishyura amahoro menshi cyane kandi bigomba gushora imari cyane mu kuvugurura, cyane cyane kuvugurura ibidukikije.
Iyi ishobora kuba ari yo mpamvu nyamukuru y’icyifuzo cya guverinoma y’Ubushinwa kugabanya cyane umusaruro w’ibyuma, ukagaruka ku rwego rw’umwaka ushize. Ibidukikije no kurwanya ubushyuhe bw’isi birashoboka ko bizagira uruhare rwa kabiri, nubwo bihuye neza n’uko Beijing yubahiriza politiki y’ikirere ku isi. Nkuko uhagarariye Minisiteri y’ibidukikije n’ibidukikije yabivuze mu nama y’abanyamuryango ba CISA, niba mbere inshingano nyamukuru y’inganda z’ibyuma ari ugukuraho ubushobozi burenze kandi butagikoreshwa, ubu ni ngombwa kugabanya umusaruro nyawo w’umusaruro.
Ni bangahe bizatwara mu Bushinwa
Biragoye kuvuga niba koko Ubushinwa buzagaruka mubisubizo byumwaka ushize mu mpera zumwaka. Nubwo bimeze bityo, kubwibyo, ingano yo gushonga mugice cya kabiri cyumwaka igomba kugabanuka hafi toni miliyoni 60, cyangwa 11% ugereranije niyambere. Ikigaragara ni uko metallurgiste, ubu barimo kubona inyungu zanditse, bazangiza iyi gahunda muburyo bwose bushoboka. Nubwo bimeze bityo ariko, mu ntara nyinshi, inganda z’ibyuma zakiriwe n’ubuyobozi bw’ibanze kugabanya umusaruro wazo. Byongeye kandi, uturere turimo Tangshan, ikigo kinini cya metallurgjique ya PRC.
Icyakora, nta kintu na kimwe kibuza Abashinwa gukora bakurikije ihame: “Ntabwo tuzafata, bityo tuzakomeza gushyuha.” Ingaruka z’iyi politiki ku bicuruzwa byoherezwa mu Bushinwa no gutumiza mu mahanga birashimishije cyane ku bitabiriye isoko ry’ibyuma by’Uburusiya.
Mu byumweru bishize, hakomeje kuvugwa ibihuha bivuga ko Ubushinwa buzashyiraho ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga ku bicuruzwa by’ibyuma bingana na 10 kugeza kuri 25% guhera ku ya 1 Kanama, byibuze ku bicuruzwa bishyushye. Nyamara, kugeza ubu ibintu byose byagenze neza muguhagarika kugaruka kwumusoro ku bicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga ku byuma bikonje bikonje, ibyuma bya galvanis, polymer na tin, imiyoboro idafite intego yo gukoresha peteroli na gaze - ubwoko 23 gusa bwibicuruzwa bitari byateganijwe n’izi ngamba kuri Gicurasi 1.
Ibi bishya ntabwo bizagira ingaruka zikomeye kumasoko yisi. Nibyo, amagambo yavuzwe kubyuma bikonje bikonje hamwe nicyuma cya galvanis yakozwe mubushinwa bizazamuka. Ariko bimaze kuba bike muburyo budasanzwe mumezi ashize ugereranije nigiciro cyibyuma bishyushye. Ndetse na nyuma yo kwiyongera byanze bikunze, ibicuruzwa by’ibyuma by’igihugu bizakomeza kuba bihendutse kurusha iby'abanywanyi bakomeye, nk'uko byagaragajwe n'ikinyamakuru cyo mu Bushinwa cyitwa Shanghai Metals Market (SMM).
Nkuko SMM yabivuze kandi, icyifuzo cyo gushyiraho imisoro yoherezwa mu mahanga ku byuma bishyushye byateje impaka ziturutse ku nganda z’Abashinwa. Mugihe kimwe, umuntu agomba gutegereza ko ibicuruzwa byo hanze byibyo bicuruzwa bizagabanuka uko byagenda kose. Ingamba zo kugabanya umusaruro wibyuma mubushinwa zagize ingaruka kuri iki gice cyane, bituma izamuka ryibiciro. Muri cyamunara ku Isoko ry’ejo hazaza rya Shanghai ku ya 30 Nyakanga, amagambo yarenze amafaranga 6.130 kuri toni ($ 839.5 ukuyemo TVA). Nk’uko raporo zimwe zibyerekana, hashyizweho ibipimo byo kohereza mu mahanga ku buryo butemewe ku masosiyete y’ibyuma yo mu Bushinwa, bifite ingano cyane.
Muri rusange, bizaba bishimishije cyane kureba isoko ryubukode bwabashinwa mubyumweru cyangwa bibiri biri imbere. Niba igipimo cyo kugabanuka kwumusaruro gikomeje, ibiciro bizatsinda hejuru. Byongeye kandi, ibi ntibizagira ingaruka ku byuma bishyushye gusa, ahubwo bizagira ingaruka no ku bicuruzwa byacuruzwa. Kugirango bahagarike iterambere ryabo, abategetsi b’Ubushinwa bagomba kwifashisha ingamba z’ubuyobozi, nko muri Gicurasi, cyangwa kurushaho gukumira ibyoherezwa mu mahanga, cyangwa…).
Imiterere yisoko ryibyuma muburusiya 2021
Birashoboka cyane, ibisubizo bizakomeza kuba izamuka ryibiciro ku isoko ryisi. Ntabwo ari binini cyane, kubera ko Abahinde n’Uburusiya bohereza ibicuruzwa mu mahanga buri gihe biteguye gufata umwanya w’amasosiyete y’Abashinwa, kandi ibyifuzo muri Vietnam ndetse n’ibindi bihugu byinshi byo muri Aziya byaguye kubera intambara itagira imbabazi yo kurwanya coronavirus, ariko bifite akamaro. Kandi hano ikibazo kivuka: isoko yu Burusiya izabyifatamo ite?!
Tugeze ku ya 1 Kanama - umunsi ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga ku bicuruzwa byatangiye gukurikizwa. Muri Nyakanga, mu rwego rwo gutegereza iki gikorwa, ibiciro by'ibicuruzwa by'ibyuma mu Burusiya byagabanutse. Kandi nukuri birakwiye rwose, kuva mbere wasuzugurwaga cyane ugereranije namasoko yo hanze.
Bamwe mu bakora imiyoboro isudira mu Burusiya, uko bigaragara, ndetse bizeye kugabanya igiciro cy’ibiceri bishyushye bikagera ku bihumbi 70-75. kuri toni CPT. Ibi byiringiro, nukuvuga, ntabwo byabaye impamo, ubu rero abakora imiyoboro bahura numurimo wo gukosora ibiciro bizamuka. Ariko, ikibazo gikomeye ubu kivutse: birakwiye ko dutegereza igabanuka ryibiciro byibyuma bishyushye muburusiya, tuvuge ko amafaranga ibihumbi 80-85. kuri toni CPT, cyangwa pendulum izasubira inyuma mu cyerekezo cyo gukura?
Nkuko bisanzwe, ibiciro byibicuruzwa byimpapuro muburusiya byerekana anisotropy muriki cyerekezo, mubumenyi. Isoko ryisi yose ikimara gutangira kuzamuka, bahita bafata iyi nzira. Ariko niba impinduka ibaye mumahanga kandi ibiciro bikamanuka, abakora ibyuma byuburusiya bahitamo gusa kutabona izo mpinduka. Kandi "ntibabibona" - ibyumweru cyangwa amezi.
Amahoro yo kugurisha ibyuma no kongera ibiciro kubikoresho byubaka
Ariko, ubu ibintu byinshingano bizarwanya kwiyongera. Kuzamuka kw'igiciro cy'icyuma gishyushye cy’Uburusiya ku madorari arenga 120 kuri toni, gishobora kuringaniza rwose, birasa nkaho bidashoboka mu gihe kiri imbere, uko byagenda kose mu Bushinwa. Nubwo yahinduka net itumiza ibyuma (ibyo nukuvuga, birashoboka, ariko ntabwo byihuse), haracyari abanywanyi, ibiciro bya logistique hamwe ningaruka za coronavirus.
Hanyuma, ibihugu by’iburengerazuba birerekana ko bihangayikishijwe cyane no kwihutisha ibikorwa by’ifaranga, kandi ikibazo cyo gukaza umurego “amafaranga y’amafaranga” kivugwa aho, byibuze. Ku rundi ruhande, muri Amerika, Inteko ishinga amategeko umutwe w’abadepite yemeje gahunda yo kubaka ibikorwa remezo ifite ingengo y’imari ingana na miliyari 550. Iyo Sena itoye, bizaba ari ugukomera kw'ifaranga rikomeye, bityo ibintu bikaba bidasobanutse neza.
Muri make rero, muri Kanama izamuka ryikigereranyo cyibiciro byibicuruzwa n’ibicuruzwa byatewe na politiki y’Ubushinwa byashobokaga ku isoko ry’isi. Bizagabanywa nubushake buke hanze yUbushinwa no guhatana hagati yabatanga isoko. Ibintu bimwe bizabuza ibigo byu Burusiya kuzamura cyane amagambo yatanzwe no kongera ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga. Ibiciro by'imbere mu Burusiya bizaba hejuru kuruta ibyoherezwa mu mahanga, harimo n'amahoro. Ariko burya buringaniye ni ikibazo kigibwaho impaka. Imyitozo ifatika yibyumweru bike biri imbere izerekana ibi.
Igihe cyo kohereza: Ukuboza-17-2021